Ingram Micro Holding Corp (INGM)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 delivered broad-based growth and clean execution: net sales $12.60B (+7.2% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $0.72 (flat YoY) at the high end of guidance; GAAP EPS $0.42; Adjusted EBITDA $342.2M (+3% YoY) .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus: Revenue +3.3% vs est., EPS +6.4% vs est.; EBITDA modest beat; mix-driven gross margin down 29 bps YoY but up 34 bps sequentially, with PCs and server/storage momentum offsetting softness in virtualization and infrastructure software .
- New Q4 guide implies continued YoY growth: net sales $14.0–$14.35B, gross profit $935–$990M, non-GAAP EPS $0.85–$0.95; tax rate ~33%, 235.9M diluted shares .
- Catalysts: accelerating AI commercialization (Xvantage, IDA, new Gemini-based Sales Briefing Agent), improving SMB trajectory, and “normal” budget flush into Q4; small July ransomware impact quantified ($0.02–$0.03 EPS; 1.0–1.5% of net sales) now behind the company .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Broad-based top-line growth: +7.2% YoY; growth across all regions; APAC +12.5% YoY, LatAm +13.0% YoY; FX added ~1 pt to total company sales growth .
- AI and platform execution: Xvantage’s IDA drove “hundreds of millions” of incremental revenue with international IDA revenue >100% growth; launched enterprise AI agent on Google’s Gemini; narrative positions INGM at center of AI enablement .
- Sequential margin improvement and disciplined OpEx: gross margin +34 bps QoQ; OpEx leverage improved (5.13% of sales vs 5.33% LY); Adjusted EBITDA +3% YoY to $342.2M .
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What Went Wrong
- Mix pressure on margins: gross margin 6.90% vs 7.19% LY (−29 bps) due to lower-margin endpoints, server/storage (AI enablement), large enterprise, and APAC mix .
- Product/category softness and timing: Advanced Solutions −4.5% YoY (virtualization/infrastructure software weak; a large Europe project didn’t repeat); Cloud −4% YoY (ex-divestiture, low single-digit growth) .
- Working capital drag and FCF negative: cash used in ops −$146.0M; Adjusted FCF −$109.9M (better than typical Q3 seasonality but still negative); net working capital days 32 vs 29 LY; LatAm withholding tax −$0.03 EPS .
Financial Results
Headline results by quarter (oldest → newest)
Execution vs prior quarter’s Q3 guidance (given Aug 6)
Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q3 2025)
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Regional breakdown (Q3 2025)
KPIs and balance sheet (Q3 2025)
Notes on mix and adjustments: Lower gross margin YoY driven by mix (endpoints; server/storage AI enablement; large enterprise; APAC); Q3 includes ~$5.5M loss on sale of CloudBlue and another non-core business; restructuring costs $3.5M; non-GAAP excludes amortization, FX, integration/transition, stock/cash comp, and other items per reconciliations .
Guidance Changes
Reference (execution vs prior Q3 guide): Q3 actuals vs Q3 guide were above/at top-end as shown earlier .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Paul Bay (strategy and AI positioning): “In the third quarter, the opportunity around AI accelerated… we are empowering customers to capitalize… offering a unified platform to buy integrated hardware, software, cloud, and services… uniquely positioned… through our proprietary Xvantage platform and customer-facing AI Enable program.”
- CEO on AI factory and IDA: “Xvantage was architected… with a proprietary AI factory… IDA contributed hundreds of millions of dollars in incremental revenue… non-U.S. IDA-driven revenue grew by more than 100%.”
- CFO Mike Zilis (mix and margins): “Gross margins were down 29 bps YoY due to higher mix of lower margin client/endpoint and server/storage… offset by sequential improvement of 34 bps; OpEx leverage improved to 5.13% of sales.”
- CFO on category/regional performance: “Client and endpoint nearly +13% FX-neutral; servers and storage strong; networking modest; cloud −4% YoY but ex-divestiture up low single digits; APAC and LatAm low-teens FX-neutral growth; NA ~+3%.”
- CFO on Q4 outlook: “Guide implies gross margins in high 6s (~6.8% mid-point)… client & endpoint mid-single-digit growth, Advanced Solutions low-single-digit, Cloud mid-to-upper single-digit.”
Q&A Highlights
- Margins trajectory: Management expects Q4 gross margins in the “high 6s,” with continued mix effects from low-margin AI/compute balanced by SMB improvement and cloud growth .
- Working capital and FCF: Inventory declined sequentially; below-normal seasonal working capital build in Q3; management points to a “solid” Q4 cash flow similar to last year’s seasonality .
- Cycle positioning: PC refresh in later innings, but AI PCs (~25% of shipments now) could extend cycle into 2026; servers solid, networking moderate .
- Budget flush/macro: Expect normal Q4 budget flush; SMB spending improving with tempering inflation and rate backdrop .
- Ransomware impact clarified: Total Q3 effect ~1.0–1.5% of sales and $0.02–$0.03 EPS; minimal operational disruption .
Estimates Context
- Versus S&P Global consensus, INGM beat on revenue (+3.3%), beat on Primary EPS (+6.4%), and modestly beat on EBITDA (+1.4%) for Q3 2025. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: With Q4 non-GAAP EPS guided to $0.85–$0.95 and revenue guided to $14.0–$14.35B, consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 may need to move higher if not already reflecting this guidance; watch for cloud reacceleration and sustained server/storage strength per management’s mix commentary .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix-driven, but durable growth: Strong compute and endpoint demand and SMB recovery underpin top-line; margin cadence to remain mix-sensitive as AI GPU/server deals scale at lower margin but solid ROIC .
- AI monetization is becoming tangible: IDA and the new Gemini-powered agent show direct revenue/efficiency contributions, a differentiator among channel peers; expect narrative support from incremental AI use-cases .
- Cloud to reaccelerate ex-divestiture: Management expects mid-to-upper single-digit cloud growth in Q4; prior headwinds tied to divestiture and net-revenue mix should abate, aiding margin stability .
- Cash flow improving into year-end: Sequential inventory reduction and below-normal seasonal build in Q3 set up for typical strong Q4 FCF; leverage stable at 2.8x gross / 2.2x net; dividend increased to $0.08 .
- Execution vs guidance remains solid: Q3 revenue above the high end; EPS at the high end; Q4 guide implies continued YoY growth—positive estimate revision risk if macro/SMB tailwinds persist .
- Watch list: virtualization/infrastructure software softness, EMEA macro softness, and potential margin dilution from large GPU/AI enablement projects; offset by SMB strength and platform-driven OpEx leverage .
- Trading setup: Into Q4 print, catalysts include AI commercialization updates, cloud reacceleration, and Q4 cash generation; risks include mix pressure to margins and any macro wobble in Europe .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Company reiterated non-GAAP definitions and provided reconciliations (Adjusted Income from Ops, Adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAP net income/EPS, Adjusted FCF, ROIC) .
- Loss on sale of CloudBlue and another non-core business impacted NA results by $5.5M and ~12 bps of operating margin .
- Dividend payable Nov 24, 2025; record date Nov 10, 2025 .
Citations: Press release and 8-K Q3 (including guidance and reconciliations) ; press release duplicate -; Q3 call transcript -; Q2 8-K (Q3 guidance and mix) -, -; Q1 8-K (trend context) -, -; AI agent press release . Values marked with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global.